For real this time. Including everyone because either Hiro or Hiyoko may go home tonight. It comes down to what Shuichi and Nagito do.  Regardless gonna give thoughts on everyone and how they fit into my end game, because welll....i made this:



So yeah let's get to it.


Akane: Yeah so Akane is interesting. She's really stubborn and insisitent and is generally very social and if she makes the end she stands a really good shot at winning. I hope that she gets cut at like 7, but she and I might have an understanding that we have to kill each other later, lest we get booted at final 6. She isn't too strong in challenges so I can probably out last her if I need to go to immunity runs to survive.

Celestia: So Celestia is currently my top ally. She tells me everything she hears, regardless of if it is true (it actually ends up being true at the least most of the time) and is very talkative. She's generally likeable and has a good chance of winning a jury vote since a lot of people knew her from before and liked her a lot. But she can also cause a lot of unforced errors with how she shares information (like leading with how Mikan was the leak which led to Akane being super suspicious), and as such I could maybe win the comparative on strategic game. Not sure how well, though. For now she's a shield meant to be cut at final 5, but if favor turns against her and kyoko I should be fine so long as I survive one tribal since the legacy advantage can get passed to me and I can use that time to cut shuichi followed by an immunity run to the end.


Hiyoko: No one trusts Hiyoko. I like this, but she is probably going to die this phase. She knows that I've been fighting for her and I've told her....way too much. If she lives I want her to go to jury and feel like I at least stuck up for her and that can get me a jury vote. Well unless she is angry about me having Celestia burn her hard, which  to be fair, made sense at the time, she would have lived and it gave a clear target that wasn't Celestia. But yeah, my plan is to drag her as far as I can and use her as an easy coutnerwagon when need be, but like...she may just go this round. 


Kyoko: Kyoko is someone I think I can beat. We have both played a strategic game but I've managed to be very straightforward and civil with my enemies, whereas Kyoko didn't even talk to Mikan or Yasuhiro. If she makes it near the end I consider her an insurance policy to take to the end. However, she does have a legacy advantage so that would be major points. But yeah...this Big Brother round is really bad for Kyoko's game, and like yeah....she botched that hard by renomming Hiyoko instead of Akane. The entire game may flip on her as a result, but who knows. 

Mikan: Allies with Shuichi, Allies with Hiro, Allies with Sayaka and Akane. Yeah Mikan is socially positioned really well and also is not a natural ally of me at all. Her surviving is not good for me if Kyoko gets scared. I think she is an UTR player that will go too far and profit off of the misplays of Shuichi if he doesn't realize he should weaken her position right now. If she survives, I have to make nice and well, Chihiro liked them, so I don't see why I shouldn't be able to but they likely already want to target me. I need her to die very very soon.

Nagito: I have no idea about Nagito, he does not talk about end game even when I talk game with him, he seems happy to play the middle and is transparent and is the only hope to get Shuichi' to vote for Hiro...and he might not even be voting Hiro, so we'll see. He dicatates the pace of the game with his cliquemate and if they flip...they're really really dangerous and kind of need to be culled somehow. If they don't flip then I want to get near the end with him, since I'm not sure how well he can sell his UTR game. Though, if I do take him near the end that encourages Drum Beats' playstyle and I'm not sure I want to see more of that. At least we're finally actually talking since I need him to spare me in case of a coup.

Sayaka: I've defended Sayaka too long. She can cause all sorts of trouble and this makes me nervous, she is not currently focused on me and with Hiyoko out may be willing to work with me, but I have no clue if she actually wants to. She's a shield and I want her to die next round because...like, come on.

Shuichi: Shuichi needs to know that telling your ally you are stabbing them for your backup allies does not make them happy and that makes you think they are not your main ally. He holds the power on this vote and is trying to play the middle when what I want is a commitment to the end game that works. He's trying to have his cake and eat it too and can win challenges. If he sticks with me I think I can beat him, if he doesn't, I may still be able to beat him but am probably better off burning him and going on an immunity run to the end (though immunities are widespread this game). He says he'll have a decision in the morning but I already know he's about to choose Mikan and Sayaka over me, and like, if he doesn't then I'll be really happy. If he flips here I may be sunk because of the effort I went into trying to kill yasuhiro because kyoko was away and Celeste was ineffective. Oh well.

Yasuhiro: So I like making people pay for not listening to me. If Yasuhiro lives here he will either be a shield for me or someone I want to take to the end after cutting Akane. Because I told her to cut him or she would likely fall at final 6. She agreed apparently but you can't trust anything about it. He's civil about me trying to kill him, so there is hope, but if he lives I doubt he looks at me as an ally, sigh.....I hate this round. But if he does want to work together I can leak that Akane said she wanted to cute him, possibly as soon as next round and let the sparks fly. It is no risk to me because well....he already knew I was campaigning against him.


I'll give ideal F3 scenarios when I know what is going on this vote for sure.