Monomi
Headmaster
Posts: 1,192
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Post by Monomi on Oct 1, 2018 0:59:55 GMT
It doesn't seem to me like anyone is even targeting shuichi this round.
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Monomi
Headmaster
Posts: 1,192
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Post by Monomi on Oct 1, 2018 2:58:09 GMT
Hooray! We finally convinced them there's a mole!
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Monomi
Headmaster
Posts: 1,192
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Post by Monomi on Oct 1, 2018 3:41:19 GMT
Shuichi claims to be the mole to akane -- frame that and hang it in the gallery of moments from this game
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Post by Sonia Nevermind on Oct 1, 2018 3:43:00 GMT
Nagito/shoe clique has spoilers for DR1 (pg17) just in case anyone is spectating who doesnt want to be spoiled
Is there actually a mole though? I thought it was a joke but I guess not?
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Monomi
Headmaster
Posts: 1,192
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Post by Monomi on Oct 1, 2018 4:42:55 GMT
It is a joke.
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Post by Kaede Akamatsu on Oct 1, 2018 4:45:54 GMT
Hey, how come we didn’t get the cryptogram answers early?
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Monaca Towa
Audience Member
Let's all be friends and kill the adults <3 xoxo
Posts: 517
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Post by Monaca Towa on Oct 1, 2018 4:56:32 GMT
I think Shuichi needed that.
Time to see where the votes/idols fall.
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Post by Kurokuma on Oct 1, 2018 5:04:33 GMT
Interesting, Shuichi only solved one clue, probably the easiest one because you can see HAY GIRL HAY in it like he pointed out. But that was a powerful clue. Tells you horse 7 beats horse 8 who beats Hay Girl Hay, who was way out in front to start. You don’t know 7 wins but you know it’s a good horse to bet on.
And then thanks to the wisdom of the crowd everyone started all inning on the right horse.
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Post by Kurokuma on Oct 1, 2018 5:08:54 GMT
Mikan solved a clue or two too so props to her. Not sure if anyone else solved anything.
Nagito idols Celestia idols Shuichi immune
Celestia and Akane seem like the early targets, so Akane is in big trouble, but does have an idol “with” Mikan. If played for Akane we could see all votes cancelled and a revote between Mikan and Gundham.
Most likely though Akane goes out here and Mikan and Nagito idol next round, so 2 or 3 people immune in f5 too...
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Monaca Towa
Audience Member
Let's all be friends and kill the adults <3 xoxo
Posts: 517
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Post by Monaca Towa on Oct 1, 2018 5:23:04 GMT
That's what I'm thinking will happen. Since Akane and Gundham didn't win immunity, the likelihood that we see a full on Cirie2.0 is unlikely. It would take a ballsy move by Nagito to pull it off.
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Monokuma
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headmastbear
Posts: 1,165
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Post by Monokuma on Oct 1, 2018 16:26:06 GMT
Lol i posted a list last round of possible winnable order but now im like everyone seems to have a pretty equal chance of winning now?
Like everyone has several points in their favor and 1 major flaw
Akane sucked at jury management Celes in the end relies on other players making mistakes more than her good play Gundhams not seen as a threat Nagito maybe doesnt have a huge one lets see how idols pan out Shuichi may be immunity dependant and could get Fishbached by Nagito Mikan probably should have been dead pre merge which could be both a plus and a negative
But everyone has made huge moves and did things to get themselves further and make it here. Akane is a powerhouse, celes is a social goddess, shuichi is an immunity beast, nagito has more power than anyone knows, mikans got an idol and kept herself alive...gundham has the most trouble here because hes seen as hitching his wagon to the gray train but i think hes influencing and guiding more than people think.
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Post by Kurokuma on Oct 1, 2018 17:15:28 GMT
Hmm if i did a win equity ranking I think id do like...
Shuichi - I think he's been growing on people and has some jury respect, but is not a massive target yet, and has immunity-winning chops Nagito - High possibility of riding to the end based on positioning and idols. No one really loves nagito but they don't see him as a goat either and i think he can do some ftc bodyslams Gundham - hard to get a feel for how liked and how secure he is... I think middling at both, which does mean he has a decent shot at making the finals, and a decent shot at some votes Mikan - Id been consistently pegging her higher because shes low threat and people like her. But while i expected her respect level to increase respectively, i feel shes increasingly seen as a follower and goat Akane - has a threat target on her back and has burned the jury. might rank higher but high possibility she dies next Celestia - can't win challenges and people won't let her get to the end. And even if she did she might not end up having any signature "moves"
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Monomi
Headmaster
Posts: 1,192
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Post by Monomi on Oct 1, 2018 17:18:27 GMT
Chance of reaching FTC: Gundham > Shuichi/Nagito > Mikan > Celestia > Akane Chance of winning FTC if present: Celestia > Shuichi/Nagito > Mikan/Akane > Gundham
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Monomi
Headmaster
Posts: 1,192
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Post by Monomi on Oct 1, 2018 17:19:15 GMT
She may lack big moves, but if I'm a juror I probably vote for The Big Threat a lot of the time just to prove the players were wrong not to vote them off.
Also, nobody dislikes her.
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Monomi
Headmaster
Posts: 1,192
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Post by Monomi on Oct 1, 2018 17:22:10 GMT
Also I can definitely see anyone winning an FTC that contains any of Mikan-Akane-Nagito-Shuichi, I'm totally guessing on that. Mikan and Shuichi likely benefit from not taking each other because they have similar cases. Akane has pissed off the jury but her game is the flashiest and she'd make a really neat winner; I'd probably vote for her if she either didn't piss me off specifically or recovered at FTC.
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Post by Kurokuma on Oct 1, 2018 17:23:57 GMT
I think they're trying to blindside Nagito and Nagito has entertained the idea of being greedy with the idols, and holding two for F5. (His last post talks about having to make an "idol choice" this round.)
No one's achieved a blindside yet this game really, and Nagito not playing an idol here would be crazy, right? So... what im thinking of could never ever happen... right???
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Post by Kurokuma on Oct 1, 2018 17:26:18 GMT
Also I can definitely see anyone winning an FTC that contains any of Mikan-Akane-Nagito-Shuichi, I'm totally guessing on that. Mikan and Shuichi likely benefit from not taking each other because they have similar cases. Akane has pissed off the jury but her game is the flashiest and she'd make a really neat winner; I'd probably vote for her if she either didn't piss me off specifically or recovered at FTC. yeah I wouldnt change those rankings I just posted but I could very easily move ANY of them up or down multiple spots. It's actually really hard to confidently peg what's going to happen as we approach the end. Which is very fun.
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Monomi
Headmaster
Posts: 1,192
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Post by Monomi on Oct 1, 2018 17:27:16 GMT
I think they're trying to blindside Nagito and Nagito has entertained the idea of being greedy with the idols, and holding two for F5. (His last post talks about having to make an "idol choice" this round.) No one's achieved a blindside yet this game really, and Nagito not playing an idol here would be crazy, right? So... what im thinking of could never ever happen... right??? Talk about one-upping James... at least he had an excuse! I think he or Shuichi will catch on to the plan, though?
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Post by Kaede Akamatsu on Oct 1, 2018 19:18:29 GMT
I love the commentary, it makes everything easier to take in. <3
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Monaca Towa
Audience Member
Let's all be friends and kill the adults <3 xoxo
Posts: 517
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Post by Monaca Towa on Oct 1, 2018 22:36:57 GMT
Idk the Yasuhiro nom was kinda a blindside.
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Monokuma
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headmastbear
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Post by Monokuma on Oct 1, 2018 22:51:46 GMT
I feel it was a blideside to players whose names dont rhyme with bakane so yeah id say so
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Monokuma
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headmastbear
Posts: 1,165
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Post by Monokuma on Oct 1, 2018 22:52:11 GMT
I would like to ammend "players" to "people on earth"
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Monokuma
Headmaster
headmastbear
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Post by Monokuma on Oct 1, 2018 22:57:01 GMT
I feel like a sports commentator here
Akane has played a great flashy merge game but she will have to be careful if she goes against shuichi or mikan who played good premerge games to get here.
Thats right, monokuma. They've really struggled and triumphed, where some might say Akane had an easier path to merge. I would throw nagito in there not necessarily due to ease but certainly luck was on the side of the luckiest student.
Well, monokuma, if we're talking nagito, let's point out that shuichis ride through pre merge depended heavily on nagito. So I'd give partial credit for shuichis struggles to nagito.
Well said, monokuma. Lets go back to the action.
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Monokuma
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headmastbear
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Post by Monokuma on Oct 2, 2018 4:09:08 GMT
omg it's gonna be votes on celes and votes on nagito, both will be immune
what have we done
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Monaca Towa
Audience Member
Let's all be friends and kill the adults <3 xoxo
Posts: 517
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Post by Monaca Towa on Oct 2, 2018 5:15:11 GMT
it will be really interesting if Mikan is the back up vote...
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